Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000148 0.000164 0.000181 0.000201 0.000223 0.000247 0.000275
2025-08-10 0.000116 0.000139 0.000165 0.000197 0.000237 0.000284 0.000344
2025-08-17 0.000098 0.000123 0.000154 0.000196 0.000250 0.000318 0.000413
2025-08-24 0.000084 0.000111 0.000145 0.000193 0.000258 0.000346 0.000474
2025-08-31 0.000073 0.000099 0.000135 0.000186 0.000260 0.000364 0.000523
2025-09-07 0.000066 0.000093 0.000130 0.000186 0.000270 0.000393 0.000591
2025-09-14 0.000062 0.000089 0.000128 0.000190 0.000285 0.000430 0.000675
2025-09-21 0.000056 0.000083 0.000122 0.000186 0.000289 0.000450 0.000733
2025-09-28 0.000050 0.000076 0.000115 0.000179 0.000286 0.000459 0.000774
2025-10-05 0.000047 0.000073 0.000113 0.000181 0.000298 0.000494 0.000863
2025-10-12 0.000045 0.000071 0.000113 0.000186 0.000314 0.000536 0.000970
2025-10-19 0.000042 0.000068 0.000109 0.000184 0.000318 0.000558 0.001042
2025-10-26 0.000040 0.000065 0.000108 0.000186 0.000330 0.000598 0.001158
2025-11-02 0.000037 0.000062 0.000104 0.000183 0.000334 0.000623 0.001248
2025-11-09 0.000034 0.000059 0.000101 0.000182 0.000341 0.000654 0.001355
2025-11-16 0.000032 0.000056 0.000097 0.000179 0.000344 0.000677 0.001448
2025-11-23 0.000029 0.000052 0.000092 0.000173 0.000340 0.000685 0.001511
2025-11-30 0.000028 0.000050 0.000090 0.000173 0.000348 0.000722 0.001644
2025-12-07 0.000027 0.000049 0.000090 0.000176 0.000363 0.000773 0.001820
2025-12-14 0.000025 0.000046 0.000087 0.000173 0.000364 0.000793 0.001922
2025-12-21 0.000023 0.000043 0.000082 0.000167 0.000357 0.000794 0.001975
2025-12-28 0.000022 0.000042 0.000082 0.000169 0.000370 0.000844 0.002165
2026-01-04 0.000022 0.000042 0.000082 0.000173 0.000387 0.000906 0.002403